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type="text/css"></style> <div id="ct" class="ct2 wp cl"> <div class="mn"> <div class="bm_haa cl"> <div class="bm_h cl"> <a href="http://www.oecr.com/portal.php?mod=rss&catid=61" class="y xi2 rss" target="_blank" title="RSS">订阅</a><h1 class="xs2">文章</h1> </div></div> <div class="kjkjb"> <div class="bm vw" style="margin-bottom:0;"> <div class="h hm"> <div class="zxtoux"><img src="http://www.oecr.com/uc_server/avatar.php?uid=54876&size=small" /></div> <h1 class="ph">电子书将超越纸质书? </h1> <p class="xg1"> 时间：2011-4-7 11:47<a class="zz" href="home.php?mod=space&uid=54876">作者：update</a> 阅读<em id="_viewnum">(1794)</em> 评论: <a href="http://www.oecr.com/portal.php?mod=comment&id=1870&idtype=aid" title="查看全部评论"><em id="_commentnum">1</em></a></p> <div class="zxfb" ><a href="http://www.oecr.com/portal.php?mod=rss&catid=61" class="y xi2 rss" target="_blank" title="RSS">订阅</a></div> </div> <!--[diy=diysummarytop]--><div id="diysummarytop" class="area"></div><!--[/diy]--> <div class="s"> <div class="ss"><div><span>导读： </span>帕里什表示：“相对于电影、音乐以及报纸行业，图书行业现在的变化更加彻底而迅速。因为我们经历的时间不过几个月左右。未来24个月里，整个行业将完全改变。”帕里什此言暗示电子书今后将主导市场。</div> </div> <!--[diy=diysummarybottom]--><div id="diysummarybottom" class="area"></div><!--[/diy]--> <div class="d"> <!--[diy=diycontenttop]--><div id="diycontenttop" class="area"></div><!--[/diy]--> <table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="vwtb"><tr><td id="article_content"> 上周，科技<a href="http://club.oecr.com/home.php?mod=space&do=blog&view=all" target="_blank" class="relatedlink">博客</a>GigaOm在纽约举办了Big Data大会。在会上，巴诺公司（Barnes & Noble）高管马克•帕里什登台与大家探讨了图书出版行业正在经历的剧烈变化。<br><br> 帕里什表示：“相对于电影、音乐以及报纸行业，图书行业现在的变化更加彻底而迅速。因为我们经历的时间不过几个月左右。未来24个月里，整个行业将完全改变。”帕里什此言暗示<a href="http://electronic.oecr.com" target="_blank" class="relatedlink">电子</a>书今后将主导市场。（不过在会后的跟进采访中，帕里什表示自己并无意给出精确的时间表。）<br><br> 帕里什列举了来自Codex Forrester和高德纳咨询（Gartner Research）的数据作为佐证：在某种程度上，30%的读者同时购买了电子书和实体书。巴诺公司预计2011年电子阅读器的销量将达到1800万部，35%的读者将会拥有一部电子书阅读器。而2009年，电子书阅读器的销量还仅为90万部。就实际图书销量而言，据美国出版商协会（Association of American Publishers）报道，今年1月，美国电子书销售额达到7000万美元，与去年同期相比暴涨116%。相比之下，今年1月份的成人平装书销量则从去年同期的1.042亿美元下滑至8360万美元。<br><br> 考虑到上文的数据，再结合电子书的飞速普及，帕里什暗示，出版业马上将面临“拐点”——相对于纸质书，越来越多的读者将会更倾向于电子书。<br><br> 音乐业和电影业的转型遇到了很多困难，图书出版业也一样，它的转型也一波三折。当然，占据了有利地位的亚马逊（Amazon）和苹果（Apple）将从中受益。亚马逊今年1月份表示，其电子书销量已超过平装书；而苹果也表示，从去年4月至今，iBooks商店的电子书下载量已达到1亿次。不过像巴诺、Borders这样的传统实体书店则还在苦苦挣扎。后者在上月根据美国联邦破产法第11章向法院申请了破产保护。<br><br> 即便是谷歌（Google）这种没有实体书店束缚的互联网巨头也遇到了麻烦。上周早些时候，法院驳回了谷歌和众多出版商及作者在2008年达成的一份价值1.25亿美元的协议。该协议允许谷歌将数以百万计的书籍在线数字化。<br><br> 如果帕里什的预言是准确的，电子书将在2013年3月主导图书市场。那么问题将不再是谁会成为领头羊，而是谁会因为无法跟上最新的科技步伐而被淘汰出局。</td></tr></table> <!--[diy=diycontentbottom]--><div id="diycontentbottom" class="area"></div><!--[/diy]--> <script src="data/cache/home.js?eOg" type="text/javascript"></script> <div id="click_div"><table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="atd"> <tr><td> <a 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